28 Days of Global Market Chaos: The Full Report on the Iran-Israel Conflict
Honestly, looking back at the last 28 days feels like we’ve lived through a whole year of financial history. When the news first broke about the US and Israel launching strikes on Iran, the world didn't just stop to watch the news—it started moving its money. Fast.
If you’ve been checking your portfolio, you know it’s been a proper mess. But to understand why your screen is covered in red, we need to look at the day-by-day breakdown. From Google’s advertising fears to Nvidia’s chip supply panic, here is the full, unfiltered story of how 28 days of war changed the world’s wealth.
The First Week: The "Panic" Phase (Days 1–7)
The madness started on Day 1 (late February/early March 2026). The moment the strikes were confirmed, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq didn't just dip—they fell off a cliff.
Look, the first thing people do in a war is sell "Risk." And nothing is seen as more "risky" than tech companies that rely on global trade.
- Google (Alphabet Inc.): Straight up, Google took a hit of about 4.2% in the first three days. Why? Because when there is a war, companies stop spending money on ads. Google's bread and butter is advertising. If Ford or Coca-Cola were worried about global supply chains, they would stop running expensive YouTube and Search ads.
- Apple: On Day 3, Apple’s stock dropped by 3.8%. Investors were terrified that a wider war would mess up the shipping lanes in the Middle East, making it impossible to get parts for the next iPhone.
- Europe's Pain: In London, the FTSE 100 had its biggest one-day fall since the "Tariff Shock" of 2025, dropping 2.75% in a single afternoon.
The Second Week: The Energy Crisis (Days 8–14)
By Day 10, the war wasn't just about missiles; it was about oil. Iran raised the possibility of shutting the Strait of Hormuz—basically the world’s petrol pipeline.
This is where the "Winners" and "Losers" started to separate properly.
The Winners: Big Oil and Defence
To be fair, if you owned oil stocks, you were actually having a good time.
- ExxonMobil and Chevron saw their stocks surge by about 6% to 8%.
- Shell (UK): Shell’s stock was one of the few green spots in Europe, rising 5% as Brent Crude oil crossed $100 a barrel.
- Lockheed Martin: The makers of the fighter jets used in the strikes saw their stock climb 9% in two weeks.
The Losers: Airlines and Travel
While oil companies were making bank, airlines were bleeding out.
- Lufthansa (Germany): Their stock crashed by 15% because fuel became too expensive and people were too scared to fly near the conflict zone.
- Booking.com and Airbnb saw a 10% slide in their stock prices over a week as travel demand weakened.
The Third Week: The Nvidia Rollercoaster (Days 15–21)
Now, let’s talk about Nvidia. Honestly, this was the most mental part of the month.
At first, Nvidia stayed strong because everyone loves AI. But by Day 16, reality set in. NVIDIA doesn't just make chips; it needs a stable world to sell them. When the US government started talking about shifting resources to the military, investors got scared that the AI boom might slow down.
NVIDIA’s stock, which was near record highs, tumbled by 9.5% in a single week. It was a proper "Correction." Even though Nvidia later announced a $1 Trillion revenue forecast, the war clouds were just too thick for people to stay invested.
The Fourth Week: The "New Normal" (Days 22–28)
That brings us to right now. Day 28. The initial "shock" has gone, but the damage is done.
Today, the Nasdaq is officially in "Correction Territory,—which is a fancy way of saying it has fallen 10% from its recent peak.
What happened to Google and Microsoft?
- Google (Alphabet): As of Day 28, Google is down roughly 8% from where it started. The fear is that a long war will cause a global recession, and in a recession, nobody clicks on ads.
- Microsoft: Microsoft has held up slightly better, only down 6%, because businesses still need their software (Office 365/Azure) even during a war. But their plans to build massive AI data centres in the Middle East have been put on ice, which has killed their momentum.
Europe vs. America: Who got hit harder?
To be fair, Europe has had a much worse time than America.
|
Index |
28-Day Change |
Reason |
|---|---|---|
|
S&P 500 (US) |
-4.0% |
Tech sell-off but saved by Oil/Defence stocks. |
|
DAX (Germany) |
-9.6% |
Energy crisis and manufacturing slowdown. |
|
FTSE 100 (UK) |
-7.6% |
Banking and Insurance stocks took a beating. |
|
CAC 40 (France) |
-8.9% |
Luxury |
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